74 or in other words we should not defend less than 1. 90 or less to BU, the BB should not fold more than.
From experience I find it very unlikely that there are lots of players that fold more than.
However it is not very likely that SB and BB fold equal amounts. This would suggest we only need to defend 1-.819 =. If SB and BB fold equal amounts they have to fold at least. In other words we are looking for what SB fold to BU steal multiplied with what BB fold to BU steal equals. To find find the probability of a situation that involves more than one sequence we need to multiply the probability of each sequence with each other. Actually shouldn't we examine the situation from the BU perspective? Because BU made his decision with two players left to act and the profitability of his action is dependent on the situation when he made his action and not after the SB has folded.įrom the BU perspective he is looking for a situation where the probability of both SB and BB folding is greater than.
